The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 both fell ahead of a busy earnings week for Big Tech.
Published On 25 Apr 2022
Stocks and commodities tumbled as China’s worsening Covid outbreak compounded fears sparked by faster Federal Reserve tightening. Bonds rose.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 declined ahead of a busy earnings week for Big Tech. The Stoxx 600 Europe Index fell, with miners and energy firms at the forefront of losses. And West Texas Intermediate futures slid more than 5% to trade below $98 a barrel amid a rout in other raw materials.
“This week may easily be a fork in the road of equities,” JC O’Hara, chief market technician at MKM Partners, wrote in a note. “We have nearly a third of the S&P 500 and half of the Dow Jones set to report. Bottom-up drivers will either confirm or reject what the challenging macro backdrop has given us over the last three weeks.”
Fears of wider curbs in Beijing are spooking investors already fretting about the risk of a global slowdown as the Fed raises rates to tame inflation. A broad gauge of Chinese stocks dropped to the lowest in almost two years as policy makers put some areas of the capital under lockdown amid the government’s steadfast adherence to its Covid-zero policy.
The S&P 500 is about to drop sharply, Morgan Stanley’s Mike Wilson warned, as investors struggle to find havens amid fears that aggressive Fed action will engineer a recession. Morgan Stanley strategists said a quickly tightening Fed is looking “right into the teeth of a slowdown” in a note Monday, and that crowded defensive stocks no longer pay.
A flight to havens lifted global government bonds, with the yield on the U.S. benchmark note down nine basis points. The dollar extended an advance, while the euro fell even after Emmanuel Macron’s win in the French election removed a key risk for markets.
Monday’s pullback in the soaring price of commodities since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has done little to assuage concerns about runaway inflation.
Fed Jerome Powell had outlined his most bold approach yet to reining in surging prices and the European Central Bank signaled stronger tightening.
China’s central bank is in a different position, however, as it looks to shore up its economy against slowdown. On Monday it cut the amount of money that banks need to have in reserve for their foreign-currency holdings, prompting the yuan to ease recent declines.
“We continue to believe that U.S./global equities will not bottom until markets stop discounting ever more aggressive Fed rate policy,” wrote Nicholas Colas, co-founder of DataTrek Research. “It’s not that the current news flow is bad. The problem is that the range of potential economic outcomes is too wide to predict future corporate earnings with any certainty.”
Events to watch this week:
- Tech earnings include Alphabet, Meta Platforms, Amazon, Apple
- EIA oil inventory report, Wednesday
- Australia CPI, Wednesday
- Bank of Japan monetary policy decision, Thursday
- U.S. 1Q GDP, weekly jobless claims, Thursday
- ECB publishes its economic bulletin, Thursday
Some of the main moves in markets:
- The S&P 500 fell 0.7% as of 9:30 a.m. New York time
- The Nasdaq 100 fell 0.6%
- The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.5%
- The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 1.4%
- The MSCI World index fell 1.1%
- The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.4%
- The euro fell 0.6% to $1.0726
- The British pound fell 0.8% to $1.2732
- The Japanese yen rose 0.3% to 128.08 per dollar
- The yield on 10-year Treasuries declined nine basis points to 2.81%
- Germany’s 10-year yield declined 10 basis points to 0.87%
- Britain’s 10-year yield declined eight basis points to 1.89%
- West Texas Intermediate crude fell 5.7% to $96.27 a barrel
- Gold futures fell 1.8% to $1,899.20 an ounce
–With assistance from Albertina Torsoli and Ksenia Galouchko.